Sawgrass is a course that requires precision over power, and course architect Pete Dye made it a point to punish bad shots handsomely at TPC Sawgrass. Ball striking is the name of the game at The Players Championship, and outside of Webb Simpson in -- who putted the lights out -- all of the past 10 winners have gained at least four strokes on the field on approach. Off of the tee, players can opt to take less-than-driver on many of the Par 4s and still be left with a short iron on their approach shot.
Add in the dozens of water hazards around TPC Sawgrass and you have a course where you can shoot yourself out of the tournament with only one or two bad iron shots. The Players is always a minefield for the world's top players, and we should expect to see many big names not make it to the weekend. World No. Outright Bets to Consider. We backed Thomas a few weeks ago at WGC-Mexico, and he had a strong showing but fell short after a tough final-round Time and again, we have seen Koepka raise his game on golf's biggest stages, and a trip to Sawgrass with the biggest purse and best field of the season may bring out some form in his game.
While Koepka doesn't have any top finishes at The Players, he hasn't played that poorly either, making each of his past four cuts at TPC Sawgrass. Casey was everyone's mid-range pick to win this event last season, and he proceeded to miss the cut. We all know how good of a ball-striker Casey can be, and he yet again ranks inside of the top 10 on Tour this season in "strokes gained: approach". Casey has a fairly poor record at this tournament, with only one top, six missed cuts, and two withdrawals.
Mickelson and Woods have reached points in their career where missed cuts are likelier than major championships. Fowler and Spieth are now levels behind some of their peers in terms of the quality of their games. If you're truly looking to maximize your investment, stick to what you know in your head, rather than what you feel in your heart. Seven of the last eight Masters winners were first-time major championship winners. The eighth, of course, was Tiger Woods a year ago. All three of those players have finished in the top 10 at a major since the last Masters was played.
Rahm and Schauffele, in particular, are simply due to finally get it done, and both have games well suited to make this the week. Statistics courtesy of the PGA Tour's official website. Gambling problem? Odds and lines subject to change.
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